Showing posts with label India. Show all posts
Showing posts with label India. Show all posts

Thursday, June 9, 2011

India: Growth Despite Government


Absolutely essential reading from The New York Times: an article on India's extraordinary economic growth that has come despite a government that struggles to provide even the most basic infrastructure:

In Gurgaon [a suburb of New Delhi] and elsewhere in India, the answer is that growth usually occurs despite the government rather than because of it. India and China are often considered to be the world’s rising economic powers, yet if China’s growth has been led by the state, India’s growth is often impeded by the state. China’s authoritarian leaders have built world-class infrastructure; India’s infrastructure and bureaucracy are both considered woefully outdated.

Yet over the past decade, India has emerged as one of the world’s most important new engines of growth, despite itself. Even now, with its economy feeling the pressure from global inflation and higher interest rates, some economists predict that India will become the world’s third largest economy within 15 years and could much sooner supplant China as the fastest-growing major economy.

Moreover, India’s unorthodox path illustrates, on a grand scale, the struggles of many smaller developing countries to deliver growth despite weak, ineffective governments. Many have tried to emulate China’s top-down economic model, but most are stuck with the Indian reality. In India, Gurgaon epitomizes that reality, managing to be both a complete mess and an economic powerhouse, a microcosm of Indian dynamism and dysfunction.

In Gurgaon, economic growth is often the product of a private sector improvising to overcome the inadequacies of the government.

To compensate for electricity blackouts, Gurgaon’s companies and real estate developers operate massive diesel generators capable of powering small towns. No water? Drill private borewells. No public transportation? Companies employ hundreds of private buses and taxis. Worried about crime? Gurgaon has almost four times as many private security guards as police officers.

“You could call it the United States of Gurgaon,” said Sanjay Kaul, an activist critical of the city’s lack of planning who argues that Gurgaon is a patchwork of private islands more than an interconnected city. “You are on your own.”

I am busy today so I'll only add this thought: Much of this reveals a pattern of allowing the wealthy minority to build for themselves a society within a society. But this will soon test India's democratic identity, for this cannot go on indefinitely without the 90% of India that is left out. The state must begin to step in and start to provide essential services for those who cannot afford to buy them privately. And the private provision of these services is usually hugely inefficient and will eventually become a major drag on growth.  India needs to begin aggressively inserting the state back into the fray in other words.

It also reminds me a bit of Brazil, but for all the corruption and inefficiency in Brazil, the state is much better functioning in general.  They lost control of the favelas, but have began a program of re-integrating favelas into the bureaucracy: providing services, enforcing building codes, etc.  This might be a model for India.

Wednesday, December 3, 2008

India

I have a particular connection to, and affection for, India, having spent a good deal of time their particularly as a college junior living and studying there. So it was with great horror that I witnessed the terrorist attacks on Bombay and their aftermath. [Yes, I said Bombay, ignoring the Hindu-nationalist inspired name change] I have dined at Leopold's restaurant, I have sat at the India gate gazing at the Taj Hotel, and I have traveled through Victoria Terminus - the train station that was attacked - so this really struck me.

I have to admit, I have never had any faith in the emergency services in India and many times while there have I thought "please don't let anything happen where I would need assistance" because I was quite convinced in the futility of such a need. The police seem hopelessly incompetent and vaguely violent (occasionally resorting to thrashing a beggar with their canes without provocation), the firefighters nonexistent and in general the government seems obsessed with bureaucracy and hierarchy and uninterested in competence. I have stories upon stories of trying to get things accomplished only to be completely stymied by layers upon layers of bureaucratic machinations and endless middlemen.

It came as no surprise to me as a development economist, then, that when there was finally some liberalizing of the commercial bureaucracy the economy skyrocketed. Unfortunately this has not translated yet to other parts of the government. Perhaps this unfortunate event will do the same. India, an ancient civilization steeped in caste and class, is not eager to see this eternal protection of the upper castes place in society disappear - at least not among those upper castes who still control the country. But a new culture of competence must arise. India cannot long sustain its economic progress without addressing its lacuna in governance in other areas. The central government must work to create new mechanisms through which talent and performance is rewarded - regardless of position or caste. I am not optimistic that this will happen quickly though. But I hope it happens quickly enough, because to sustain this society, more economic progress is needed.

I also worry about the success of these terrorist attacks. These will surely test the fragile fabric of what is a magnificent achievement: a diverse, democratic, pluralistic, secular country of over one billion people. It is in all of our interests to assure the success of this grand experiment in democracy. As the new home minister, Palaniappan Chidambaram, said so eloquently to reporters on Monday:

“This is the threat to the very idea of India, the very soul of India, the India that we know, the India that we love — namely a secular, plural, tolerant and open society, I have no doubt in my mind that ultimately the idea of India will triumph.”


I hope and believe it will, but it will take much hard work - and some help.